Value Betting on Exchanges, Sharps & Brokers

Value betting on exchanges like Betfair, sharp bookies like Pinnacle, and betting agents like BetInAsia is not possible for average smart bettors.

This guide explains your possibilities with value betting on platforms like Betfair Exchange.

The main reason why value betting on exchanges, betting agents, and sharp is not possible is their way of defining odds.

Is value betting on Betfair Exchange possible?

Yes, value betting on Betfair Exchange is possible and profitable. However, the amount of profit a bettor can make is very low compared to any other type of strategy.

Exchanges display betting odds offered by their users. This peer-to-peer type of betting platform can offer wrong odds due to various reasons.

Betting exchanges aid smart betting activities by not applying restrictions on winning players.

Exchanges offer everything for long-term value betting, such as wrong odds and not facing stake limitations.

Why value betting on exchanges is not worth it?

Bettors can find and place value bets on exchanges. But, in actual +EV betting on exchanges, you face several factors that significantly reduce the potential profits from it.

The reasons why most bettors won’t succeed with +EV betting on exchanges:

• Many players use automated betting bots to take advantage of overpriced odds and they use up the majority of liquidity on those bets.
• Exchanges apply high commissions on winning bets, which further decrease your profitability.
• Betting bots are significantly faster than skilled bettors.
• The remaining liquidity not used by bots will be used by value bettors who have a faster odds comparison service.
• If you still find a value bet with significant liquidity, it has a high chance of being a value trap. A value trap is often caused by insider information, and it has a very high chance of ending as a losing bet.

Is value betting on betting agents/brokers possible?

Yes, value betting on betting brokerages like BetInasia is possible. However, the profit potential is very similar to that at exchanges.

A betting brokerage that gives access to odds from many sharps, exchanges, and Asian bookies can offer wrong odds for value betting.

Technically, +EV betting is possible on brokers, but the situation is very similar to finding value bets at exchanges.

Why do most bettors fail with value betting at exchanges?

• Many programmers have automated betting bots that spot wrong odds and place bets on them.
• These bots shift the line/odds, so the majority of regular players can’t take advantage of them.
• Asian bookies used to offer great profitability for smart bettors. But they decreased the max stakes, so the time investment/profit ratio is no longer worth it.
• Not every odds comparison service is scanning betting agents.

Is value betting on sharp betting sites possible?

Yes, value betting on sharp bookmakers like Pinnacle is possible, but only for a small number of bettors.

Pinnacle is known for offering the sharpest, most accurate odds for the majority of sports events.

I know bettors who succeeded in exploiting mistakes made by Pinnacle. They offered wrong betting lines and changed odds too late on certain tennis events and smaller sports.

However, these value betting loopholes at Pinnacle or other sharps tend to remain only for a shorter period.

Bettors with a long-lasting winning streak or a profitable account are outstanding users at Sharps.

While Pinnacle is known for accepting smart wagering activities, they still won’t allow users to exploit their errors.

Why can’t you make profits with value betting at Pinnacle?

• Pinnacle offers sharp odds in almost every case. They have a house edge of around 3%, which will guarantee a negative ROI for bettors.
• Sharps make mistakes mostly in minor leagues, which raises red flags even with their smart bettors’ welcomed policy.
• Even top Value bet finder apps are not capable of displaying +EV bets at Pinnacle.
• You need to have a strategy to spot weak lines at sharps to find +EV bets.
• Finding value bets at sharps like Pinnacle requires understanding and experience with specific sports.

Final Thoughts

Successful value betting on Betfair Exchange, BetInAsia, and sharps like Pinnacle requires betting bots or the ability to spot opportunities not available in odds screening services.

The main reasons why most value bettors fail at exchanges and sharp bookies are the lack of liquidity, slow value bet finders, and the lack of experience.