3 Football Statistics Websites For Probability Calculation
Whether you are looking for football statistics websites to support analytical decision-making or to evaluate match probabilities using data, the services below can provide structured statistical insights.
The following platforms present football match assessments derived from historical and real-time data, often expressed in percentage-based probability formats.
This information is generated by algorithms that analyze large historical datasets and model the likelihood of different outcomes based on statistical patterns.
Below are the recommended services I used in the past few years:
Football Market Analysis
BetMetricsLab
→ Here you can find odds and probability analysis for upcoming matches
→ You can check the expected value of your odds
→ Gives you a staking advice
✓ Free and paid plans
Best Overall
StatisticSports
It can run simulations of your strategy based on historical data.
7-day free trial!
Best for EU leagues
PlayThePercentage
Displays statistics in percentages based on historical data.
7-day free trial!
Football statistics tools like these are commonly used to test assumptions, validate hypotheses, and compare projected outcomes against market odds, rather than to guarantee results.
⚠️ Important Disclosure
Following tipsters or betting predictions exposes users to the same financial risks as placing bets independently. Past performance does not predict future results, and tipster profitability can fluctuate significantly over time.
Top football statistics websites for analysis and probability modeling
A football statistics and prediction website plays the role of providing data-driven context to help users better understand matches, trends, and performance indicators.
Statistical projections can also help highlight situations where market pricing may differ from modeled probabilities, although such differences do not imply certainty or guaranteed outcomes.
1. StatisticSports – strategy testing available
StatisticSports is a football statistics platform offering extensive historical databases and analytical tools.
The platform aggregates statistical data from football matches worldwide, resulting in a database covering tens of thousands of events each year.
Its system allows users to generate probability-based projections using both predefined and custom filters.
Users who rely on football statistics for analytical purposes can use these datasets to identify patterns or test predefined assumptions, rather than to rely on subjective judgment.
Tipsters and analysts who work with similar statistical datasets often use them to evaluate consistency and methodology, rather than to ensure performance.
AAdvantages of StatisticSports:
- Live match statistics visualization
- Probability alerts derived from live match data
- Backtesting functionality, allowing users to test hypothetical strategies (such as corners or goals) using historical datasets
- Historical match data available from 2013 onward
- In-play lines, statistics, and odds notifications
- Team and opponent comparison tools
- Customizable alerts based on in-match performance metrics
- Structured and readable user interface
- Active Telegram community focused on data discussion
- One of the most comprehensive football statistics platforms currently available
A 7-day trial is available for evaluation purposes.
Downsides of StatisticSports:
- The Lite plan is similarly priced to alternatives, while premium tiers are more expensive
- The platform does not include an integrated odds-comparison engine
- To compare prices across bookmakers, an external tool is required
Pricing:
- 7-day free trial
- €17.00 / month – Lite
- €37.00 / month – Deluxe
- €77.00 / month – Platinum
Lite plan includes:
- Live events chart
- Probability-based alerts
- Momentum indicators
- In-play odds display
Deluxe plan includes:
- All Lite features
- Strategy backtesting
- Automated data export tools
- Historical data covering nearly all football matches since 2013
- In-play statistical notifications
- Advanced opponent comparison
- Expanded database filtering options
Platinum plan includes:
- Access to future platform features
- All previous features
- Unlimited notifications
- Up to 10 active alerts
- Priority alert delivery
Note: The market of crypto betting and bitcoin betting promotions is growing fast. It quadrupled in only a few years.
2. Play the Percentage
Play the Percentage was developed in 2017 by football enthusiasts seeking to replace manual research with structured statistical modeling.
The platform collects and processes historical and current match data to generate probability-based assessments.
What is this website capable of?
What does this platform analyze?
The system processes datasets related to:
- Corners
- Goals
- Cards
- Referee tendencies
- Head-to-head results
- League-level performance metrics
Based on this information, the platform estimates probabilities that are comparable to bookmaker market models, though outcomes remain uncertain.
Relevant article: check my list of some great corner betting sites for higher odds and a wide range of market coverage.
Play the Percentage interface
Probability estimates are visualized using charts that display outcome likelihoods as percentages.
This allows users to contextualize match scenarios using structured data rather than intuition alone.
Many bettors rely on external opinions or subjective insights, while others may overestimate their personal judgment without sufficient data support.
Using statistical tools can help reduce cognitive bias, though it does not eliminate risk.
Play the Percentage processes data from tens of thousands of matches annually, covering over 200 leagues worldwide.
Whether individual analysis can outperform large datasets is uncertain, and statistical models are generally designed to complement, not replace, human judgment.
How the Play the Percentage platform works
After subscribing, users access the Members Home area, where matches are listed based on predefined statistical thresholds.
Each match entry includes:
- Head-to-head statistics
- Card probability modeling at various match stages
- Corner probability estimates by period and team
- Aggregated market groupings
Head-to-head analysis
Users can filter matches by:
- Region
- League
- Season
- Home and away teams
- Form window (number of matches used for modeling)
After applying filters, the platform displays structured probability outputs derived from historical data.
Additional analytical tools
- Card Shark: Card frequency modeling across leagues
- Corner King: Detailed corner probability modeling
- Pro Acca Assassin: Market grouping tool based on probability thresholds
- Stat Ninja: Expanded market and dataset filtering
In-Play Engine
The In-Play Engine displays live matches that meet predefined statistical conditions.
Telegram alerts distribute data-driven notifications for selected markets, such as:
- In-play corner statistics
- First-half in-play indicators
These alerts combine pre-match statistical context with live match data.
User interface design
The interface prioritizes functionality and clarity over visual complexity.
Although the number of filters may appear overwhelming initially, most users become familiar with the system after brief use.
Pricing
Play the Percentage offers two subscription plans, both with a 7-day trial:
Elite Level: £14.99 / month
Pro Level: £9.99 / month
Definition of football statistics and prediction websites
A football statistics and prediction website is a platform that provides structured analytical data related to upcoming football events.
Probability projections are generated using algorithmic models trained on historical datasets.
Such platforms are designed to support decision-making and risk evaluation, not to ensure specific outcomes.
Features often include:
- Algorithmic probability estimates
- Match statistics and performance metrics
- Head-to-head comparisons
- In-play data updates
How to use football statistics responsibly
- Rely on data rather than emotion
- Treat statistical modeling as a long-term analytical approach
- Maintain consistent methodology
- Avoid drawing conclusions from short-term results
- Understand that variance and uncertainty are inherent
Historical testing cited by platform providers reflects past data, which does not guarantee future outcomes.
Alternatives to football statistics platforms
Football statistics tools are not the only analytical option available.
Odds-comparison software and arbitrage-focused tools are sometimes used to evaluate pricing efficiency rather than outcome probability.
Each approach has limitations, and no method removes uncertainty from sports betting.
Conclusion
StatisticSports and Play the Percentage are comprehensive football statistics platforms designed to support analytical evaluation and probability modeling.
They are best used as educational and analytical tools to better understand match dynamics, risk, and variance, not as guarantees of performance or profit.
