5 Algorithms to Predict Football Matches Correctly

During my betting activity, I have used many services that can support my betting strategies.

Whether you are looking for a guide or algorithms to predict football matches correctly, here you can find both.

Football prediction algorithms based on odds comparison can offer the most reliable results in the long run.

To properly use these services, below you can find 6 tips on how to predict football matches correctly.

Here are the top 3 sites that I successfully used for football betting with the highest accuracy based on historical data or odds comparison:

The platforms and services I mention in this article are running their services to offer valuable information about upcoming events based on pure stats.

Sites & algorithms for profitable football predictions

The bookies are most motivated to get as accurate statistical data and information as possible.

Most average bettors can’t have the same amount of information that even the smallest bookie has. 

In some cases, on the other hand, bettors can take advantage of more accurate predictions by following some software or services.

1. Tipstrr – tipster platform

Based on my experience, following talented and well-informed football tipsters who are also trustworthy, can be as profitable as some other techniques.

Football tipsters on platforms such as Tipstrr are not able to delete their losing bets or change the odds or stakes on them.

These facts by themselves make this platform an excellent place to find fairly correct football predictions. I have a dedicated article for the best tipsters on Tipstrr.

They were selected based on their long betting history and the achieved profits in the last 12 months.

If you are looking for a site that can predict football matches correctly and offer an almost guaranteed long-term profit, then the other options below might be more beneficial for you.

Many tipsters can offer excellent predictions based on overpriced markets or more accurate information about a future event.

2. Zcode System – predictions with statistics based on AI

There are many services on the internet that collect football data from each available and significant football event.

Getting accurate and decently correct football data for predictions is one of the most important tools for a tipster or a bettor who wants long-term success. 

Fortunately, many football statistical databases are available even for hobby bettors.

I have used many similar software and I found that Zcode System is outstanding when you are looking for a site that predicts football matches correctly.

Their system has automatically processed statistics from football events for many years. By having a database of information from tens of thousands of matches, they can offer football predictions with high accuracy.

Another factor that makes Zcode System outstanding is its software, which is capable of backtesting your football betting strategy. 

This tool will test your betting strategy based on real odds and historical data. It can save you a lot of money and time by checking if your technique will be profitable in the long run or not. 

3. PlayThePercentage – football predictions in percentages

This software is very similar to the above-mentioned service but it has different ways of offering football predictions.

They also process data from tens of thousands of matches each year, but their software is not capable of testing your strategy. On the other hand, it can display fairly correct football predictions for upcoming events. 

Finding a site that can predict matches correctly every time is impossible. But sites like PlayThePercentage can help you figure out which team has more chances and how many corners might be scored, etc.

With this tool, you can select the upcoming football events and get head-to-head data/predictions for many markets. 

This service has an additional strategy, which is even worth subscribing to. This football strategy was tested by the creators of PlayThePercentage and generated over 20 thousand Euros in eight months. 

If you open an account with an Elite Membership, you can get access to these football predictions.

4. Sure bets – Football predictions on overpriced odds

Many bettors are looking for sites with correct and accurate football predictions, while the real solution for long-term profitability is a proven betting strategy.

I’ve been betting based on mathematical betting strategies for many years. Some of them can offer an almost risk-free profit, while others are focusing on long-term profits. 

Arbitrage betting is the simplest technique you can try. Your task is to follow certain odds comparison services that display overpriced odds. 

By betting on these, you can cover the other outcome with the right odds and generate a guaranteed profit no matter the outcome.

Many bettors (including myself) made tens of thousands with sure betting. Check my recommendations about the best arbitrage bet finders for more info. 

5. Value bets – most profitable football predictions

The other strategy I mentioned is value betting. It is very similar to sure betting but in this case, you are not covering the other outcome of your bets.

By picking football markets on too high odds, you can beat the bookies in the long run. Each betting market is priced fairly accurately but even the biggest bookmakers can’t offer perfectly correct lines.

If you can spot these with the help of value bet finders, you will make a healthy profit in the long run.

How to predict football matches correctly?

To predict football matches correctly, you need to have access to historical data about events and tools that can analyze this database.

Another way to increase your winning rate and have more correct predictions is by focusing on odds fluctuations.

I will present you with several proven soccer betting strategies that can generate guaranteed profits even in the long run.

To have more correct predictions you need to follow strategies such as value betting. Another method to predict a straight win with decent accuracy is by using value betting software and placing bets with a huge positive EV.

1. Know the teams at least on a basic level

For predicting a football match based on our knowledge and statistical data, the right source of information is an essential element.

Being profitable in the long run means that your betting strategy can offer more accurate results than the odds offered by bookmakers.

Some bookmakers are almost unbeatable in calculating the real possibility of a winner in sports. Their odds can be so accurate that offering a profit margin of 2 still can generate long-term profits for the sportsbook.

Knowing the strengths and weaknesses of football players can offer you a big advantage in live betting.

While the match is in play, you can look at the stream and check how the players are performing.

2. Get professional in only certain leagues

Concentrating on every football league and player while predicting outcomes could be a waste of time. Many factors are changing rapidly, and it would take too much effort to follow each of them.

Focusing only on a few leagues will help you to have more in-depth statistics, watch more matches, and find more information about them.

Predicting a football match should not be based entirely on statistics. The information you find on the internet and the true odds of an upcoming event are also key factors.

These factors are very important in the long run and will offer a strong basis for your betting strategies and your success.

But having the knowledge and years of experience by watching matches on stream and betting on them can offer you an edge and sense in predicting certain outcomes in sports.

After 1-2 years of betting on football, I started realizing that I was gaining more and more knowledge in some leagues.

For example, my favorite leagues were German, Italian, and Spanish.

Only by watching the streams and how the players perform, I noticed patterns that helped me to find markets where bookies make mistakes constantly.

3. Focus on positive Expected Value

To predict football matches using odds you need to know the real possibility of an outcome and find bookies that offer significantly higher odds.

Some betting strategies like finding arbitrage bets or value betting require a big volume of bets placed to generate decent profits.

-> Read more on how to spot arbitrage bets in the following dedicated article.

Bookmakers make many mistakes because new information appears and they can’t update the odds fast enough.

Every time they are a little bit late and they do not drop the odds at certain markets, smart bettors are taking advantage of them.

Mathematical betting strategies will always outperform tipsters and experts, at least 99.99% of them.

Finding outcomes with wrong odds compared to these sharp bookmakers will guarantee a mathematical edge over bookies in the long run.

With this betting technique, you don’t need too much experience and knowledge in sports to have profitable predictions.

You just need to know which bookie is offering very accurate odds and compare your local sportsbook odds to these sharp lines.

If you want to predict football outcomes by yourself you will need to follow services that can analyze odds in seconds.

Figuring out how to win in football betting requires discipline and taking bets that hold real value and can generate profits even when facing big variances.

4. Focus more on in-play soccer events

Live betting can offer more accurate football predictions because of more information available for sharp bookies.

Before the start of the match, most of them offer odds close to the real probability of the outcome. Some bookies are very sharp and other operators tend to copy their lines.

So, you can easily notice that most bookies offer odds very similar to their competitors.

While a pre-match simple betting odds aggregator site can have a fast enough service to help you find overpriced odds.

This way you can see any discrepancy, any odds difference between bookmakers.

In-play betting predictions can offer more profits because the change of events and chances of winning can happen from one second to another.

Some sharp bookies can offer fairly accurate odds even in these moments. While others make major mistakes and offer the opportunity to place a football bet on odds higher than its chance to win.

5. Place bets after knowing the closing odds

There are two main approaches for pre-match football predictions based on overpriced odds. The first method focuses on the opening odds and offers odds that are significantly off compared to their true probability.

Focusing on these betting opportunities can lead to a fast limitation of your maximum stakes. Bookies are aware of the high chance of offering wrong football odds predictions in this early stage.

For this reason, waiting until they offer the final odds close to the starting point of the football event can lengthen the lifespan of your sportsbook account.

Placing bets based on football prediction algorithms close to the start of the event can also decrease the variance in the long run. Closing odds on football tend to be more accurate so the odds you use are closer to their expected value.

6. Know the motivation of teams

Most football prediction sites and software do not take the motivation of teams into consideration. This can have a big impact on your long-term results.

For this reason, a pre-match football prediction software that uses only statistics will always underperform compared to an odds comparison algorithm.

The latter software indirectly includes information about team motivations. This can increase the accuracy of odds and the overall profitability. This info is already included in the odds offered by sharp bookies.

Finding working strategies and predicting football outcomes accurately is not enough for long-term success. Based on my experience, a good staking strategy can make a not-so-good betting strategy profitable.

Make sure to also check the following article on betting sites without verification.